Archie Bradley (4-7, 4.75 ERA) and Jimmy Nelson (6-10, 3.74 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (44-66) and the Milwaukee Brewers (49-59) at Chase Field. The Brewers won the last game 15-6, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 7 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSWI.
Bradley pitched 3.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering eight runs (one unearned), striking out one and walking two in a 14-1 defeat to the Nationals. Jake Lamb (.282, 55 Rs, 23 HRs, 70 RBIs, 4 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. Nelson went 4.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out four and walking four in a 7-3 defeat to the Padres in his last outing. Ryan Braun (.324, 55 Rs, 18 HRs, 56 RBIs, 13 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Brewers, going 3 for 4 yesterday with three runs, two home runs, seven RBIs, and one stolen base.
Arizona is a -120 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of -2,015 and a record as the favorite of 21-23. The Diamondbacks are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.1 per game. Arizona's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 7.5 runs per game, well above its season average of 5.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Milwaukee has a 32-46 record and an overall money line of -398. The Brewers are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 112 stolen bases.
The Brewers lead the season series, 4-2. The Diamondbacks have a 30-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nelson takes the mound. Bradley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 28-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
For the 21st time this season, the Brewers registered at least two errors in a game.
The Diamondbacks managed to give up 10 walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are coming in with a 2-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
The Diamondbacks and the Brewers are both 8-48 when they are outhit.
Milwaukee ranks near the bottom of the league at 21st when it comes to home runs, hitting 116 this season. Arizona ranks in the bottom half with 124.
Ranking 13th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.07 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.11.
Ranking 19th, Milwaukee is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.731). Arizona ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .746.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 29-44, well-matched with the Diamondbacks who are 20-55 when allowing at least one homer.