Gerrit Cole (7-6, 2.73 ERA) and Dan Straily (6-6, 3.80 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (55-53) and the Cincinnati Reds (44-65) at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 5-3, and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 7 and can be seen on FSOH and RTPT.
Cole pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two, striking out four and walking two in a 5-3 win over the Braves. Starling Marte (.321, 59 Rs, 7 HRs, 39 RBIs, 39 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, two RBIs, and one stolen base. Straily went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking one in a 7-5 win over the Cardinals in his most recent start. Jay Bruce (.262, 63 Rs, 27 HRs, 84 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Reds, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when Pittsburgh, a big -190 favorite, takes on Cincinnati. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Pirates have an overall money line of +60 and a record as the favorite of 31-28. Within its division, Pittsburgh has a 13-12 record as favorite and a 21-23 record SU. The Pirates have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. The Pirates are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.8 per game. Pittsburgh is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 83 bases.
Over in the other dugout, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -1,023 and a disappointing record of 28-59 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 13-24 record against teams in their division, and a 5-5 record SU. The Reds are an excellent base stealing team with 90 stolen bases, ranking third in the MLB. The Reds allow 5.5 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.2 runs per game during that span.
The Pirates lead the season series, 6-4. The Pirates have a 40-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Straily takes the mound. Cole (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 36-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Reds are struggling at 16-26 in their division, while the Pirates sit at 21-23.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Reds have an 11-26 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
It looks like the Pirates have a slight leg up on the Reds, as the Pirates have won their last two games while the Reds have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 32-10. The Pirates have a 36-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total runs this season, Pittsburgh ranks 16th with 490 runs and Cincinnati is 20th with 470.
Ranking 26th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 297 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the top half at 14th with 344.
When the Pirates hit at least one home run, they are 38-23. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 34-36 record.