Yordano Ventura (6-7, 4.98 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (63-43) are in Detroit to meet Anibal Sanchez (10-9, 4.77 ERA) and the Tigers (52-55) in a matchup that has the potential for plenty of offense. This is the last of a three-game series at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 2-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 1:08 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 6 and will air on FSKC and FSDT.
In his most recent outing, Sanchez pitched 6.2 innings, allowing six runs and striking out five in a 6-2 loss to the Orioles. Miguel Cabrera (.350, 43 Rs, 15 HRs, 54 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 2 with one RBI. The Royals were victorious over the Blue Jays 7-6 the last time Ventura pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing five runs, striking out two and walking two.
Detroit is a +120 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Tigers are 22-31 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -462. They have done well SU (4-6), but performed poorly as the underdog (4-5) against their division opponents. Detroit has averaged 4.9 runs per game during divisional play, higher than its season average of 4.4. The Tigers are a stellar hitting team with an AL-best 9.5 hits per game. Whenever an AL Central opponent shows up on the calendar, the Tigers pitch better. They allow an average of 4.8 runs per game, but allow just 4.2 against teams from their own division.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Royals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .611 when playing as the favorite (33-21) and an overall money line of +1,815. Against divisional rivals, they are 27-17 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 14-10 record. Kansas City is one of the top hitting teams in the AL with an average of 9.2 hits per contest. The Royals average just 5.8 strikeouts per game, good for least in the AL. Playing against AL Central foes really brings the best out of the Kansas City pitchers. They allow 3.3 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 3.7.
The Royals have gotten the better of the Tigers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-4. The Tigers will take on a right-hander (Ventura) in this game and have a 38-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Sanchez will take the mound against the Royals. Against righty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 44-26 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road.
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Detroit.
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
The Tigers and the Royals hold winning records against the AL Central Division this season. The Tigers sit at 28-18 and the Royals have a 27-17 record.
Detroit has won 49% (23-24) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Kansas City has won 66% (27-14) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Royals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Tigers have a 23-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 42-13. The Royals have a 52-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top 10 of the league based on total runs this season, Detroit ranks sixth with 473 runs and Kansas City is 10th with 455.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 216 this season. Detroit ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 297.
The Tigers are 39-26 when they hit at least one home run. The Royals perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 44-16 record.