Jacob deGrom (7-5, 2.41 ERA) takes the mound for the New York Mets (56-54) as they go up against Anibal Sanchez (6-11, 6.26 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (61-49) in the last of a three-game series at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 6-5, and Detroit leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 7 and will air on FSDT and SNY.
In his last start, Sanchez pitched 6.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out two and walking three in an 11-5 victory over the White Sox. Miguel Cabrera (.311, 64 Rs, 25 HRs, 74 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with three RBIs. The Mets were also victorious the last time deGrom pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out eight and walking one in a 7-1 victory over the Yankees. Jay Bruce (.262, 63 Rs, 27 HRs, 84 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Mets, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Detroit, a +117 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against New York. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Tigers have a 30-37 record and overall money line at +1,601. They have a perfect 5-0 record as the underdog over the past 10 outings to go along with a 9-1 SU record. Detroit has averaged 6.5 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.8.
Switching to the opposing dugout, the Mets come into this game with a win percentage of .547 when playing as the favorite (41-34) and an overall money line of -1,040. When playing AL opponents, they have a 4-4 record as the favorite and 8-7 SU. They also allow just 2.6 walks per game, the best in the NL.
So far this season, the Tigers are 2-0 against the Mets. This game will feature deGrom (RHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have a 44-33 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Sanchez will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 43-39 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
The Mets lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Tigers are 20-12. The Mets are 19-17 in close games this season.
New York has won 50% (20-20) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Detroit has won 58% (30-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Tigers who are heading in with a 25-12 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 10-35. The Mets have a 17-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Detroit and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in home runs. Detroit sits at sixth with 145 home runs this season and New York ranks seventh with 144.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.90 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at second with 9.22.
Ranking 21st, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.719). Detroit ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .771.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 24-37. When the Tigers allow one or more homers, they have a 32-34 record.