Tanner Roark (11-6, 3.02 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (65-45) square off against Madison Bumgarner (10-6, 2.25 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (63-47) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the last of a three-game series at Nationals Park. The Giants won the last game 7-1, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 7 and can be seen on MASN, CSBA and TBS.
Roark pitched 6.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking two in a 10-4 win over the Diamondbacks. Bumgarner went 5.0 innings, surrendering eight runs (four unearned), striking out four and walking two in a 13-8 defeat to the Phillies in his most recent start. Brandon Belt (.287, 53 Rs, 13 HRs, 55 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Giants, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
San Francisco is a slim -110 favorite over Washington. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. Though the Nationals have had a solid season in terms of their overall money line (+131), they've have done poorly as an underdog with a record of 9-15. The Nationals are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 146. Turning to the pitchers, the Nationals are the third-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.165 so far this season.
Over in the other dugout, San Francisco is coming in with an overall money line of +311 and an impressive record of 46-25 as the favorite. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Giants are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.223 for the season.
The Nationals have a 15-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Bumgarner takes the mound. Roark (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 39-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - WAS, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, Washington is 27-17, while San Francisco is 22-16.
The Giants are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Nationals have a record of 30-11 when opponents' pitchers have six strikeouts or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Giants are 44-11. The Nationals have a 50-11 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 14th, San Francisco sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 496 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 521.
Ranking sixth, Washington is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 386 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top five with 394.
The Nationals are 51-24 when they hit at least one home run. The Giants perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 40-23 record.