Matt Boyd (2-2, 4.71 ERA) and Logan Verrett (3-6, 4.20 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (60-49) and the New York Mets (56-53) at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 4-3, and Detroit leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 6 and can be seen on FSDT and SNY.
Boyd pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking one in a 14-6 win over the Astros. Miguel Cabrera (.310, 64 Rs, 25 HRs, 71 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. Verrett went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out two and walking three in a 6-5 defeat to the Yankees in his last outing. Jay Bruce (.260, 62 Rs, 26 HRs, 83 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Detroit is a -154 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Tigers have recorded an overall money line of +1,501 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 29-12. Detroit is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Tigers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.5 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.8 runs per game.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 15-18 record and an overall money line of -940. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record and a 4-6 record SU. When it comes to issuing walks, the Mets have the fewest in the NL with only 2.6 walks allowed per game.
The Tigers have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Tigers have a 43-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Verrett takes the mound. Boyd (LHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 13-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
The Mets lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Tigers are 19-12. The Mets are 19-16 in close games this season.
The Tigers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 5-15 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 9-35. The Mets have a 17-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Detroit and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in home runs. Detroit sits at sixth with 145 home runs this season and New York ranks seventh with 142.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.93 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at second with 9.23.
Ranking 22nd, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.717). Detroit ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .771.
The Mets are 24-37 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Tigers are 31-34 when they allow at least one homer.