Ivan Nova (7-6, 4.90 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-53) go up against Homer Bailey (1-0, 3.18 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (44-64) in the second of a three-game division series at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 3-2, and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 6 and will air on FSOH and RTPT.
Starling Marte (.319, 58 Rs, 7 HRs, 37 RBIs, 38 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one stolen base. The Reds were victorious the last time Bailey pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 5.2 innings, giving up two runs, striking out six and walking three in a 3-2 victory over the Padres. Jay Bruce (.260, 62 Rs, 26 HRs, 83 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Pittsburgh, a -134 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cincinnati. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Pirates have a 29-28 record and overall money line at -140. They have a SU record of 19-23 against teams in their division and an 11-12 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Pirates have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Pirates are a superb hitting team with 8.9 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in all of baseball with 82 steals.
Switching gears, the Reds come into this game with a weak win percentage of .329 when playing as the underdog (28-57) and an overall money line of -823. Against fellow NL Central members, they are 16-24 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 13-22 record. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 90 stolen bases. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Cincinnati pitchers. They've allowed 3.8 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 5.5.
The Pirates have mostly come out on top against the Reds in their previous nine games this season, earning a 5-4 record. This game will feature Bailey (RHP) on the mound against the Pirates, who have a 38-45 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Nova. They sport a 36-47 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Reds are struggling at 16-25 in their division, while the Pirates sit at 20-23.
For the 20th time this season, the Reds registered at least two errors in a game.
The Pirates managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are coming in with a 15-18 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 8-49. The Pirates have a 14-41 record when opponents outhit them.
Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 100 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 120.
Ranking 11th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.22 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top five with 8.86.
Ranking 25th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.709). Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .735.
The Reds are 30-54 when they allow at least one home run. The Pirates perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 28-42 record.