Matt Wisler (5-2, 4.44 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (48-60) meet Jose Urena (1-5, 4.37 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (43-65) in the first of a four-game division series at Turner Field. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 6 and will air on FSFL and SPSO.
In his last start, Wisler pitched 4.2 innings, giving up seven runs, striking out three and walking one in a 12-2 loss to the Phillies. A.J. Pierzynski (.302, 28 Rs, 7 HRs, 34 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. The Marlins were also unsuccessful the last time Urena pitched. He struggled, going 5.0 innings, allowing four runs (one unearned) and striking out two in a 5-3 loss to the Padres. Dee Gordon (.329, 48 Rs, 1 HR, 25 RBIs, 34 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Atlanta is a -120 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Braves are 12-9 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -219. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-2. The Braves rank second in the majors in extra base hits with 253. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.8 strikeouts per game. Atlanta's pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Braves have given up an average of 6.0 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.4 runs per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Marlins come into this game with a weak win percentage of .338 when playing as the underdog (22-43) and an overall money line of -2,095. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 2-8 SU and have a poor 0-6 record when they were an underdog to win. The Marlins are known for their bats, hitting a league-leading 251 extra base hits. Miami is a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in the MLB with 72 stolen bases. Miami's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.2 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.0. They also allow just 8.2 hits per road game, good for fifth in the NL.
The Braves had the upper hand against the Marlins in their previous nine games this season, earning a 7-2 record. The Braves will take on a right-hander (Urena) in this game and have a 40-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Wisler will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 34-51 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Atl, O/U - Under
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games.
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road.
Miami is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Atlanta.
The Marlins currently sit below .500 against the NL East Division at 15-25, and the Braves have a 22-24 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Atlanta is 21-31, while Miami is 20-35.
The Miami batters brought in a solid 10 hits last game. Atlanta has a record of 12-33 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 30-18. The Braves have a 33-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Miami sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 383 this season. Atlanta ranks near the bottom at 26th with 398.
Ranking 27th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 249 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with 299.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 29-21. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 27-32 record.