Tyler Cravy (0-2, 3.60 ERA) and Lance Lynn (8-6, 2.89 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (46-63) and the St. Louis Cardinals (69-39) at Miller Park. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 7 and can be seen on FSWI and FSMW.
Cravy pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking one in a 4-3 defeat to the Braves. Ryan Braun (.273, 64 Rs, 19 HRs, 63 RBIs, 16 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Lynn went 5.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out five and walking three in a 6-2 defeat to the Rockies in his most recent start. Matt Carpenter (.264, 63 Rs, 15 HRs, 55 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
St. Louis takes on Milwaukee as a -140 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,648 and a record as the underdog of 27-39. Milwaukee has recorded a disappointing 1-4 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. Milwaukee's pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.8 against fellow NL Central members, compared to its 4.5 season average. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Brewers, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.5.
Over in the other dugout, St. Louis is coming in with an overall money line of +2,105 and an impressive record of 56-23 as the favorite. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 21-8 record against teams in their division, and a 27-16 record SU. The Cardinals are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.7 hits per game. St. Louis's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an NL-low 2.66 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Cardinals are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season. The Cardinals have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.4 strikeouts per road game.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 6-3. The Brewers have a 33-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lynn takes the mound. Cravy (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a very good 53-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals sit at 28-16 against their divisional rivals, while the Brewers are 18-23.
Milwaukee has won 49% (26-27) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, St. Louis has won 65% (22-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cardinals managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 12-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 43-13. The Brewers have a 33-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Milwaukee and St. Louis both rank in the bottom half of the league in runs. Milwaukee sits at 16th with 428 runs this season and St. Louis ranks 20th with 427.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 265 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 332.
The Brewers are 34-23 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 43-18 when they hit at least one homer.