James Shields (8-4, 3.74 ERA) and Aaron Nola (2-1, 3.38 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (52-57) and the Philadelphia Phillies (42-67) at Petco Park. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 7 and can be seen on CSPh and FSSD.
Shields pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking two in a 5-2 defeat to the Marlins. Nola went 5.0 innings, surrendering two runs and striking out three in a 12-2 win over the Braves in his most recent start. Maikel Franco (.286, 42 Rs, 12 HRs, 47 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs and two RBIs.
San Diego is a -169 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -368 and a record as the favorite of 26-20. San Diego is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Padres have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game.
In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -742 and a disappointing record of 37-59 as the underdog. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 6-2 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 5.7 during that stretch. The Phillies allow 4.8 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.3 runs per game during that span.
The Padres have a 40-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nola takes the mound. Shields (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 32-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
Philadelphia has won 38% (20-33) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Diego has won 55% (27-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Padres have a 26-35 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 25-9. The Padres have a 38-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 405 this season. San Diego ranks 19th with 428 runs.
San Diego and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. San Diego sits at 21st with 279 this season and Philadelphia ranks 28th with 247.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 35-21. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 26-28 record.