Mike Clevinger (0-1, 7.71 ERA) and Hector Santiago (10-4, 4.25 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Cleveland Indians (60-45) and the Minnesota Twins (43-64) at Progressive Field. The Twins won the last game 13-5, and Minnesota can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 12:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 4 and can be seen on STOh.
Clevinger pitched 2.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out one and walking two in a 12-1 win over the Tigers. Mike Napoli (.252, 68 Rs, 27 HRs, 77 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Brian Dozier (.261, 62 Rs, 21 HRs, 60 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Twins, going 2 for 5 yesterday with three runs, one home run, and three RBIs.
Cleveland is a -153 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Indians have an overall money line of +507 and a record as the favorite of 46-32. Cleveland has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 23-13 and 30-15 records as the favorite and SU, respectively. The Indians have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in offense with 5.0 runs per game. The Indians are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.0 per game. Cleveland's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.3 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.1. The Indians are the top team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.2 hits per game so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who rank third in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.5.
In the other locker room, Minnesota is coming in with an overall money line of -1,256 and a disappointing record of 32-50 as the underdog. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 5-1 record and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Twins have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.6 runs per game by averaging 6.6 during that stretch. The Twins have a dynamic offense, ranking fifth in the league with 354 extra base hits.
The Twins lead the season series, 8-4. The Indians have a great 10-4 record at home (19-10 overall) against left-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Santiago takes the mound. Clevinger (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a inferior 28-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CLE, O/U - Over
The Indians sit at 30-16 against the division, while the Twins are struggling at 14-25.
The Indians managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Twins who are coming in with a 3-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Twins have a slight leg up on the Indians, as the Twins have won their last four games while the Indians have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Twins are 30-7. The Indians have a 47-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th, Minnesota sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 496 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 521.
Ranking 12th, Cleveland is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 333 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top 10 with 342.
The Indians are 44-28 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Twins are 36-33 when they hit at least one homer.