David Phelps (5-5, 2.65 ERA) is on the hill for the Miami Marlins (57-51) as they square off against Jorge De La Rosa (7-7, 5.51 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (54-54) in the first of a three-game series at Coors Field. Action begins at 8:40 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 5 and can be seen on FSFL and RTRM.
De La Rosa pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking two in a 7-2 win over the Mets. Carlos Gonzalez (.322, 71 Rs, 23 HRs, 75 RBIs, 2 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with three runs, two home runs, and three RBIs. Phelps went 2.2 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out four and walking two in an 11-0 win over the Cardinals in his most recent start. Marcell Ozuna (.298, 60 Rs, 19 HRs, 58 RBIs) went 1 for 4 Wednesday.
Colorado is a -145 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at 11 runs. The Rockies have an overall money line of +582 and a record as the favorite of 24-17. Colorado is unbeaten as the favorite and has an 8-2 SU record in its last ten outings. The Rockies have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in offense with 5.2 runs per game. The Rockies lead the NL in hits at home with a phenomenal 10.6 per game. Colorado is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.8 per game. Colorado's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.4 runs per game, well under their season average of 5.0.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 30-26 record and an overall money line of +325. The Marlins are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.4 hits per game. Miami is excellent at making contact with just 7.6 strikeouts per game, ranking second in the NL.
The Marlins lead the season series, 3-1. The Rockies have a 40-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Phelps takes the mound. De La Rosa (LHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a very good 17-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - COL, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Marlins lost by a margin of one run. The Rockies are 8-13 in one-run games. The Marlins have a 15-11 record in close games.
The Rockies are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 11 strikeouts. The Marlins have a record of 7-10 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 6-33. The Rockies have an 11-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 90 this season. Colorado ranks in the top half with 136.
Ranking first in hits, Miami has earned 9.44 per game this season. Colorado ranks second with 9.30 hits.
Ranking 15th, Miami is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.741). Colorado ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .788.
The Marlins are 24-31 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Rockies are 26-42 when they allow at least one homer.