In the first of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (54-54) and the Cleveland Indians (61-45) at Yankee Stadium, Michael Pineda (5-10, 5.13 ERA) and Josh Tomlin (11-3, 3.43 ERA) take the mound. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 5 and will air on STOh and YES.
In his last start, Pineda pitched 6.0 innings, giving up five runs, striking out eight and walking four in a 5-3 loss to the Rays. Carlos Beltran (.302, 51 Rs, 23 HRs, 66 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. The Indians were victorious over the Athletics 6-3 the last time Tomlin pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out seven and walking two. Mike Napoli (.253, 69 Rs, 27 HRs, 77 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
New York, a -120 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cleveland. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Yankees perform well as a favorite with a 37-23 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-396). Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (3-1). Teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Yankees, who allow only 4.1 runs per home game. The Yankees don't give up many hits to opposing batters at Yankee Stadium, ranking second in the AL with only 8.4 hits allowed per home game. An area where the Yankees are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average an AL-best 8.7 K's per game.
On the other side, the Indians have a record of 14-12 when they are the underdog and are +435 overall with the money line. The Indians are one of the top pitching staffs in the AL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 4.2 runs allowed per game. They also average just 8.3 hits allowed per game, second-best in the AL.
In their previous four games this season, the Yankees have a 3-1 record. This game will feature Tomlin (RHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 39-34 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Pineda will take the mound against the Indians, who have a 41-35 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CLE, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, New York is 29-27, while Cleveland is 23-22.
The Indians managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Yankees who are heading in with a 14-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Yankees are 41-8. The Indians have a 48-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, New York is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 436 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five with 530.
Ranking 22nd, New York is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 306 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top half at 13th with 337.
The Yankees are 38-29 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Indians are 45-28 when they hit at least one homer.