Miguel Gonzalez (2-5, 4.06 ERA) and Yovani Gallardo (3-3, 5.70 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Chicago White Sox (52-56) and the Baltimore Orioles (61-46) at U.S. Cellular Field. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 5 and can be seen on CSCh and MAS2.
Gonzalez pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two, striking out five and walking one in a 6-5 win over the Twins. Melky Cabrera (.306, 46 Rs, 9 HRs, 50 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI. Gallardo went 4.1 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out five and walking five in a 9-1 defeat to the Blue Jays in his most recent start. Pedro Alvarez (.259, 28 Rs, 16 HRs, 36 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Chicago is a narrow -115 favorite at home against Baltimore. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of nine runs. The White Sox have an overall money line of -544 and a record as the favorite of 29-23.
In games where it is the underdog, Baltimore has a 21-29 record and an overall money line of +1,594. Offensively, the Orioles have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.7 runs per game by averaging 3.4 during that stretch. The Orioles can change the game with one swing of the bat, leading the league with 161 home runs.
The White Sox have a 41-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gallardo takes the mound. Gonzalez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 44-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
Chicago has won 50% (25-25) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Baltimore has won 64% (29-16) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing no walks during their last outing. The White Sox have a 2-4 record when opponents don't give up any walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the White Sox are 37-8. The Orioles have a 39-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th in runs, Chicago has earned 431 this season. Baltimore ranks 11th with 503 runs.
Chicago and Baltimore both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. Chicago sits at 19th with 312 this season and Baltimore ranks 20th with 311.
The White Sox are 38-31 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Orioles are 49-30 when they hit at least one homer.