Christian Friedrich (4-6, 4.72 ERA) and Jeremy Hellickson (8-7, 3.70 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (47-61) and the Philadelphia Phillies (50-60) at Petco Park. Action begins at 10:40 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 5 and can be seen on CSPh and FSSD.
Friedrich pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out two and walking one in a 2-1 win over the Reds. Wil Myers (.275, 70 Rs, 20 HRs, 66 RBIs, 21 SBs) had another good game Wednesday, going 2 for 5 with one run, two RBIs, and one stolen base. Hellickson went 5.2 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out two and walking one in a 9-5 win over the Braves in his most recent start.
Philadelphia is a slim -114 favorite over San Diego. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. Though the Padres have had a solid season in terms of their overall money line (+250), they've have done poorly as an underdog with a record of 36-56. San Diego is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 96 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, Philadelphia has a 17-13 record and an overall money line of +382. When it comes to issuing walks, the Phillies have the third-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game.
The Phillies lead the season series, 3-1. The Padres have a 32-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hellickson takes the mound. Friedrich (LHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have an 11-12 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
The Phillies lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Padres are 13-21. The Phillies are 21-15 in close games this season.
The Padres are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 12 runs. The Phillies have a 0-2 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 8-43. The Phillies have a 10-48 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 24th when it comes to home runs, hitting 107 this season. San Diego ranks in the bottom half with 126.
San Diego and Philadelphia both rank in the top half of the league in hits. San Diego sits at 11th with 8.20 hits per game and Philadelphia ranks 14th with 8.03.
San Diego and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. San Diego sits at 27th with an OPS of .708, and Philadelphia ranks 29th with an OPS of .681.
When the Phillies allow at least one home run, they are 19-47, well-matched with the Padres who are 24-44 when allowing at least one homer.