Scott Kazmir (9-4, 4.41 ERA) and Steven Wright (12-5, 3.20 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (60-48) and the Boston Red Sox (59-48) at Dodger Stadium. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 5 and can be seen on NESN and SNLA.
Kazmir pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs and striking out seven in a 4-2 defeat to the Diamondbacks. Corey Seager (.306, 71 Rs, 19 HRs, 51 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Wright went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking two in a 5-3 win over the Angels in his most recent start. David Ortiz (.311, 50 Rs, 25 HRs, 87 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Los Angeles is a narrow -110 favorite at home against Boston. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. Though the Dodgers have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-302), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 52-29. In interleague play, they have a 4-4 record when they are the favorite and 6-8 SU. Los Angeles's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.0 runs per game, well above its season average of 3.8. The Dodgers are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.130 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 16-13 record and an overall money line of -566. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have a 3-7 SU record over the same span. Offensively, the Red Sox have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 5.5 runs per game by averaging 3.4 during that stretch. The Red Sox have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 401 extra base hits. The Red Sox allow 4.7 runs per game, but does better whenever an NL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.5 against teams from the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Red Sox are third in the AL on the road with an average of 8.0 hits allowed per away game.
The Dodgers have a 47-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Wright takes the mound. Kazmir (LHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have an 11-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 12 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers.
Boston is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers.
Boston is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
In their last game, the Red Sox won by a margin of one run. The Dodgers are 16-17 in one-run games. The Red Sox have a 13-14 record in close games.
The Dodgers are coming into this game after allowing no walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 2-4 record when opponents don't give up any walks.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 6-29. The Dodgers have an 11-34 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 17th in home runs, Los Angeles has hit 121 this season. Boston ranks 11th with 136 home runs.
Ranking first in hits, Boston has earned 10.05 per game this season. Los Angeles ranks ninth with 8.38 hits.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Boston has an OPS of .822 this season. Los Angeles ranks 21st with an OPS of .722.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 35-40, well-matched with the Dodgers who are 27-36 when allowing at least one homer.