Marco Estrada (5-3, 2.93 ERA) and James Paxton (2-4, 4.56 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (54-42) and the Seattle Mariners (48-47) at the Rogers Centre. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Friday, Jul. 22 and can be seen on RSN and RTNW.
Estrada pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs and striking out seven in a 9-6 win over the Indians. Josh Donaldson (.308, 85 Rs, 24 HRs, 70 RBIs, 6 SBs) had another good game Wednesday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs. Paxton went 5.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out one and walking one in a 7-3 defeat to the Astros in his most recent start. Nelson Cruz (.284, 56 Rs, 23 HRs, 58 RBIs) went 1 for 4 Wednesday.
The Blue Jays are a -170 favorite with a total of 9 runs.
Pick - Sea
The Mariners won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Blue Jays are 9-17. The Mariners are 16-18 in close games this season.
The Blue Jays are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 10 runs. The Mariners have a 1-3 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 7-31. The Mariners have a 10-32 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top five of the league based on total home runs this season, Toronto ranks third with 137 homers and Seattle is second with 138.
Ranking 12th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 298 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at second with 368.
The Blue Jays are 47-24 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mariners are 41-33 when they hit at least one homer.