In the second of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (49-59) and the Minnesota Twins (55-54) at Progressive Field, Trevor Bauer (8-8, 3.98 ERA) and Ervin Santana (2-2, 3.89 ERA) take the mound. The Twins won the last game 10-9 and Minnesota leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 8 and will air on STOh and FSN.
In his most recent outing, Bauer pitched 6.2 innings, giving up one run, striking out six and walking four in a 2-1 loss to the Athletics. Michael Brantley (.304, 44 Rs, 8 HRs, 60 RBIs, 11 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs and three RBIs. The Twins were unsuccessful to the Blue Jays 5-1 the last time Santana pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out two and walking three. Brian Dozier (.249, 78 Rs, 24 HRs, 58 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Twins, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Cleveland is a -145 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Indians are 33-38 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -2,225. They have disappointing records of 9-21 as the favorite and 15-29 SU within their division. Cleveland's pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 3.1 during that span, compared to its 4.2 season average. The Indians don't give up many hits to opposing batters, ranking fourth in the AL with only 8.2 hits allowed per game. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, leading the AL with 8.9 strikeouts per game.
On the other side, the Twins have a record of 43-45 when they are the underdog and are +1,160 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-7 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 3-7. Minnesota's pitching staff has allowed an average of 6.2 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.4.
The Twins have gotten the best of the Indians in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-2. The Indians will take on a right-hander (Santana) in this game and have a 36-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Twins will be the right-hander Bauer. They sport a 34-36 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
The Indians are struggling at 15-29 in their division, while the Twins are 24-22.
When leading after 7 innings, Cleveland is 16-19, while Minnesota is 17-21.
The Twins are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 10 runs. The Indians have a 0-6 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Indians are 40-7. The Twins have a 39-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, Cleveland has earned 417 this season. Minnesota ranks 11th with 460 runs.
Ranking 24th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 269 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at fourth with 369.
When the Indians hit at least one home run, they are 37-23, well-matched with the Twins who are 42-22 when hitting one or more homers.