Jaime Garcia (3-4, 1.98 ERA) gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals (70-39) as they meet Wily Peralta (2-6, 4.55 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (47-64) in the second of a three-game series at Miller Park. The Cardinals won the last game 6-0 and St. Louis leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 8 and will air on FS1.
In his last start, Peralta pitched 3.1 innings, allowing six runs, striking out two and walking three in a 13-5 loss to the Padres. Gerardo Parra (.323, 59 Rs, 9 HRs, 31 RBIs, 9 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. The Cardinals were unsuccessful to the Rockies 3-2 the last time Garcia pitched. He went 5.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out four and walking four. Matt Carpenter (.266, 64 Rs, 15 HRs, 56 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Milwaukee, a +117 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against St. Louis. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Brewers have a 27-40 record and overall money line at -1,648. With a 0-4 record as the underdog, they have had a tough time over their last 10 games. Whenever an NL Central opponent shows up on the calendar, the Brewers pitch better. They allow an average of 4.4 runs per game, but allow just 3.9 against teams from their own division. An area where the Brewers are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average 8.5 K's per home game.
On the other side, the Cardinals have a nice record of 58-23 when they are favored and are +2,305 overall with the money line. Against teams in their division, they are 29-16 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 23-8 record. St. Louis is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 8.7 hits per contest. Switching gears to St. Louis's pitching staff, they have the lowest ERA in the NL at 2.64. They have a WHIP of 1.20, fifth best in the MLB. The St. Louis pitching staff has been an intimidating group on the road this year, averaging 8.4 strikeouts per game.
The Cardinals have gotten the best of the Brewers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 7-3. The Brewers will take on a left-hander (Garcia) in this game and have a 13-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Peralta will take the mound against the Cardinals. Against righty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 55-25 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals hold a 29-16 record in matchups against NL Central Division rivals, while the Brewers currently sit at 18-24 in these games.
Milwaukee has won 49% (26-27) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, St. Louis has won 65% (22-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cardinals managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 19-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 44-13. The Brewers have a 34-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total runs this season, Milwaukee ranks 18th with 438 runs and St. Louis is 19th with 433.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 273 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 334.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 35-23, well-matched with the Cardinals who are 44-18 when hitting one or more homers.