Jake Arrieta (12-6, 2.50 ERA) and Jake Peavy (2-4, 3.77 ERA) start in the last of a four-game series between the Chicago Cubs (61-48) and the San Francisco Giants (59-51) at Wrigley Field. The Cubs won the last game 8-6 and Chicago can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 2:20 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 9 and can be seen on CSBy, CSCh and TBS.
Arrieta pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out five and walking three in a 5-0 win over the Pirates. Anthony Rizzo (.294, 62 Rs, 21 HRs, 63 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Peavy went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out eight and walking one in an 8-3 defeat to the Braves in his most recent start. Brandon Crawford (.266, 55 Rs, 19 HRs, 71 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Chicago is a -166 favorite against San Francisco and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is currently unavailable. The Cubs have an overall money line of +299 and a record as the favorite of 41-28. Chicago is an impressive 7-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Chicago is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 76 bases. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Cubs are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.18 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, San Francisco has a 27-22 record and an overall money line of +307. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL.
The Cubs have the edge in the season series, 3-0. The Cubs have a 46-39 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Peavy takes the mound. Arrieta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 45-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC
Chicago has won 56% (24-19) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Francisco has won 60% (25-17) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Giants managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Cubs who are heading in with a 9-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 5-35. The Cubs have a 13-35 record when opponents outhit them.
San Francisco ranks in the bottom half of the league at 17th when it comes to home runs, hitting 97 this season. Chicago ranks in the top half at 14th with 100.
Ranking 13th, Chicago is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.12 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top five at second with 9.39.
Ranking 23rd, Chicago is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.696). San Francisco ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .742.
When the Giants allow at least one home run, they are 27-36, well-matched with the Cubs who are 29-31 when allowing at least one homer.