Dan Straily (4-4, 3.83 ERA) and Jake Arrieta (11-2, 1.74 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (29-47) and the Chicago Cubs (48-26) at the Great American Ball Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 27 and can be seen on WGN and FSOH.
Straily pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking two in a 6-4 defeat to the Rangers. Jay Bruce (.279, 44 Rs, 17 HRs, 58 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Arrieta went 5.0 innings, surrendering two, striking out six and walking four in a 7-2 defeat to the Cardinals in his last outing. Anthony Rizzo (.283, 43 Rs, 17 HRs, 54 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Cubs, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
The Cubs are an overwhelming -230 favorite with a total of 8 runs for this NL Central showdown.
Pick - ChC
The Cubs sit at 21-9 against the division, while the Reds are 10-18
When leading after seven innings, Chicago is 26-8, while Cincinnati is 14-25.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Cubs are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Reds have a 7-1 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 20-7. The Cubs have a 39-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th, Cincinnati is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 324 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at fourth with 385.
Ranking 25th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.702). Chicago ranks in the top five with an OPS of .776.
When the Cubs allow at least one home run, they are 21-20. When the Reds allow one or more homers, they have a 20-39 record.