Mike Pelfrey (1-7, 4.91 ERA) and Adam Conley (4-4, 3.56 ERA) take the hill in the first of a two-game series between the Detroit Tigers (38-38) and the Miami Marlins (41-35) at Comerica Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 28 and can be seen on FSDT and FSFL.
Pelfrey pitched 4.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs and striking out two in a 7-5 defeat to the Indians. Victor Martinez (.319, 29 Rs, 14 HRs, 40 RBIs) continued his strong play Sunday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs. Conley went 8.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 3-0 win over the Braves in his last outing.
The Tigers are a slight -110 favorite with a total of 9 runs.
Pick - Mia
Detroit has won 51% (18-17) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Miami has won 53% (18-16) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 15 strikeouts. The Tigers have a record of 1-1 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 5-27. The Marlins have a 6-23 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 28th when it comes to home runs, hitting 66 this season. Detroit ranks in the top 10 with 98.
Ranking 21st, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 218 this season. Detroit ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 226.
When the Tigers hit at least one home run, they are 31-21. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 31-16 record.