Felix Hernandez (13-6, 3.13 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (51-59) meet Colby Lewis (12-4, 4.68 ERA) and the Texas Rangers (54-54) in the last of a three-game division series at Safeco Field. The Rangers won the last game 11-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 9 and will air on RTNW and FSSW.
In his last start, Hernandez pitched 6.2 innings, giving up four runs, striking out nine and walking one in an 8-7 victory over the Rockies. Nelson Cruz (.323, 60 Rs, 32 HRs, 68 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. The Rangers were victorious over the Astros 12-9 the last time Lewis pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing seven runs, striking out three and walking one. Mitch Moreland (.290, 37 Rs, 16 HRs, 57 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Rangers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Seattle is a -170 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Mariners have a 28-36 record and overall money line at -1,503. They have a 22-21 record SU and are 12-13 as favorite within their division. Seattle has averaged 5.0 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 3.8. As for the pitching staff, they have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 7.9 strikeouts per game.
On the other side, the Rangers have a record of 46-42 when they are the underdog and are +1,583 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 5-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 7-3. When it comes to scoring, the Rangers haven't performed as well against teams from the AL West. During those games, they averaged three runs per game, below their 4.4 runs per game season average. Texas's pitching staff has allowed an average of 6.1 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.8.
The Mariners have gotten the best of the Rangers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 6-1. The Mariners will take on a right-hander (Lewis) in this game and have a 38-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Hernandez will take the mound against the Rangers, who have a 36-32 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Sea, O/U - Over
The Rangers currently sit below .500 against the AL West Division at 17-27, and the Mariners have a 22-21 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Seattle is 17-22, while Texas is 20-28.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Rangers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mariners have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 31-18. The Rangers have a 42-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th in runs, Seattle has earned 412 this season. Texas ranks seventh with 480 runs.
Seattle and Texas both rank in the top half of the league in walks. Seattle sits at 14th with 314 this season and Texas ranks 13th with 315.
The Mariners are 43-32 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Rangers are 41-22 when they hit at least one homer.