Chris Archer (10-8, 2.54 ERA) takes the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays (54-56) as they go up against Bartolo Colon (10-10, 4.72 ERA) and the New York Mets (59-50) in the last of a three-game series at Tropicana Field. The Rays won the last game 5-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 9 and will air on SUN and SNY.
In his most recent outing, Archer pitched 7.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out seven and walking one in an 11-3 victory over the White Sox. Steven Souza Jr. (.214, 47 Rs, 15 HRs, 34 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with two runs. The Mets were also victorious the last time Colon pitched. He pitched well, going 8.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out five in a 12-1 victory over the Marlins.
Tampa Bay, a -158 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at six runs. The Rays are 26-24 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -442. They have a 3-4 record when they were the favorite and 7-6 SU against the NL. Tampa Bay has averaged 5.6 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 3.7. Tampa Bay's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Rays have a team ERA of 3.59, one of the lowest in their league. The Rays are the best in the AL in hits allowed, giving up just 7.9 per game. An area where the Rays are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an AL-best 8.8 K's per home game.
Across the field, the Mets have a subpar record of 14-35 when they are the underdog, but are +860 overall with the money line. AL opponents haven't been able to nail down New York this season. The Mets hold a record of 1-4 in games where they were ranked as the underdog and a 6-4 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.3 runs per game, above their 3.7 season average. The Mets are known for their bats, hitting 284 extra base hits. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have the third-lowest ERA in the NL at 3.27. They have a WHIP of 1.16 on the year, good for tops in the league.
So far this season, the Mets are 1-0 against the Rays. This game will feature Colon (RHP) on the mound against the Rays, who have a 34-44 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Archer. They sport a 48-40 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
The Mets lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Rays are 16-20. The Mets are 20-17 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 24-17, while Tampa Bay is 21-21.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rays have a 10-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Rays are 10-35. The Mets have a 13-41 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top half of the league based on total home runs this season, Tampa Bay ranks 13th with 103 homers and New York is 14th with 98.
Both Tampa Bay and New York are tied at 15th in hits, notching 8.08 per game.
Tampa Bay and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Tampa Bay sits at 21st with an OPS of .698 and New York ranks 29th with an OPS of .674.
The Mets are 24-34 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Rays are 25-41 when they allow at least one homer.