Shelby Miller (5-8, 2.44 ERA) gets the start for the Atlanta Braves (51-60) as they meet Brad Hand (1-2, 4.71 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (43-68) in the last of a four-game series at Turner Field. The Marlins lost the last game 7-2, extending a six-game losing streak. Atlanta can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game gets underway at 5:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 9 and will air on FSFL and FSSO.
In his last start, Miller pitched 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out three and walking three in an 8-3 loss to the Giants. A.J. Pierzynski (.304, 30 Rs, 7 HRs, 37 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. The Marlins were unsuccessful to the Mets 5-1 the last time Hand pitched. He went 4.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out three and walking one.
Atlanta, a -136 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Braves are 13-9 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +23. They have an SU record of 24-24 against teams in their division and an 8-7 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Braves rank second in the majors in extra base hits with 263. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.8 strikeouts per game. Atlanta's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.2 during that span, compared to its 4.4 season average.
Switching gears, the Marlins come into this game with a weak win percentage of .333 when playing as the underdog (22-44) and an overall money line of -2,355. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-6 record and 1-9 SU. Miami is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 257 extra base hits. Miami is a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in the MLB with 73 stolen bases. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Miami pitchers. They allowed 6.3 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.1. They also average just 8.3 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the NL.
The Braves have gotten the best of the Marlins in head-to-head matchups this season, going 10-2. The Braves will take on a left-hander (Hand) in this game and have an 8-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander Miller. They sport a 34-53 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Atl, O/U - Under
The Marlins currently sit below .500 against the NL East Division at 15-28, and the Braves have a 25-24 record.
The Braves managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are coming in with an 8-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
The Braves are coming into the game with three consecutive wins, while the Marlins currently have a losing streak of six.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 30-19. The Braves have a 34-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Miami sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 396 this season. Atlanta ranks near the bottom at 23rd with 420.
Ranking 27th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 260 this season. Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 306.
The Braves are 30-21 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 27-33 when they hit at least one homer.