Carlos Carrasco (11-8, 3.76 ERA) and Luis Severino (0-1, 1.80 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (51-59) and the New York Yankees (61-49) at Progressive Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 11 and can be seen on STOh and YES.
Carrasco pitched 9.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 2-0 defeat to the Angels. Michael Brantley (.313, 47 Rs, 8 HRs, 61 RBIs, 12 SBs) continued his strong play Sunday, going 3 for 5 with one run. Severino went 5.0 innings, surrendering one and striking out seven in a 2-1 defeat to the Red Sox in his most recent start.
The odds for Cleveland and New York are Indians -115, while the Over/Under (O/U) is 7. Cleveland leads the whole AL in walks, earning an average of 3.4 per game. As for the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.9.
Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is second in the AL. The Yankees are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the AL with 8.6 hits per road game.
The Indians have a 38-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Severino takes the mound. Carrasco (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 40-36 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 26-29, while Cleveland is 16-19.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Yankees are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Indians have a 7-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 8-45. The Yankees have an 11-37 record when opponents outhit them.
Cleveland ranks near the bottom of the league at 22nd when it comes to home runs, hitting 92 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 147.
Ranking 10th, Cleveland is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.51 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.82.
Ranking 12th, Cleveland is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.716). New York ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .760.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 31-39. When the Indians allow one or more homers, they have a 30-48 record.