Matt Harvey (10-7, 2.76 ERA) is on the hill for the New York Mets (59-52) as they square off against Chris Rusin (3-4, 4.66 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (47-62) in the second of a four-game series at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 4-2 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 11 and can be seen on RTRM and SNY.
Harvey pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs and striking out six in an 8-6 win over the Marlins. Yoenis Cespedes (.295, 67 Rs, 18 HRs, 66 RBIs, 4 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4. Rusin went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking three in a 7-5 defeat to the Mariners in his last outing. Carlos Gonzalez (.281, 58 Rs, 25 HRs, 62 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Rockies, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs.
This one isn't expected to be close when New York, a substantial -240 favorite, takes on Colorado. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at six runs for this matchup. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +649 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 45-16. New York is an impressive 7-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Mets have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game. The Mets lead the MLB in batting average with a phenomenal team average of .237. As for the pitchers, the Mets are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.17 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Colorado has a 34-45 record and an overall money line of -855.
The Mets have an 11-10 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Rusin takes the mound. Harvey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rockies, who have a 42-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
New York earned its ninth shutout of the season in its last game. Colorado has been shut out five times this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rockies have a 2-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Rockies are 6-43. The Mets have a 13-43 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks in the top half of the league at 14th when it comes to home runs, hitting 100 this season. Colorado ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 127.
Colorado tops the league in hits with 9.37 per game this season. New York ranks in the top half at 15th with 7.97.
Ranking 29th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.673). Colorado ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .767.
When the Rockies allow at least one home run, they are 24-48, well-matched with the Mets who are 24-36 when allowing at least one homer.