Jeremy Hellickson (7-8, 5.06 ERA) and David Buchanan (2-6, 7.23 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-56) and the Philadelphia Phillies (45-67) at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 13-3 and Arizona leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 11 and can be seen on CSPh and FSAZ.
Hellickson pitched 4.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking four in an 8-3 defeat to the Nationals. Paul Goldschmidt (.337, 70 Rs, 22 HRs, 79 RBIs, 19 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs and one RBI. Buchanan went 4.0 innings, surrendering seven runs, striking out two and walking one in a 10-8 defeat to the Dodgers in his most recent start. Ryan Howard (.235, 41 Rs, 19 HRs, 64 RBIs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when Arizona, a big -181 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently nine runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +200 and a record as the favorite of 20-20. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the NL in offense with 4.4 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.2 per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 97 bases.
Over in the other dugout, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -349 and a disappointing record of 40-60 as the underdog. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 6-2 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 5.7 during that stretch. The Phillies are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the NL with 8.8 hits per road game. The Phillies allow 4.8 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.6 runs per game during that span.
The Phillies have the edge in the season series, 3-0. The Diamondbacks have a 42-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Buchanan takes the mound. Hellickson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 35-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Ari, O/U - Over
The Diamondbacks won their last game by a 10-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Phillies are 1-2. The Diamondbacks are 1-1 in blowouts this season.
Philadelphia has won 40% (22-33) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Arizona has won 56% (20-16) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Diamondbacks have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 37-14. The Phillies have a 26-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th, Philadelphia sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 418 this season. Arizona ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 482.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 253 this season. Arizona ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 337.
When the Diamondbacks hit at least one home run, they are 36-22. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 28-28 record.