Colin Rea (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and Michael Lorenzen (3-7, 4.84 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (53-60) and the Cincinnati Reds (49-61) at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 2-1 and San Diego leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 11 and can be seen on FSOH and FSSD.
This is the first start for Rea this season. Justin Upton (.252, 58 Rs, 20 HRs, 62 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Lorenzen went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking four in a 3-0 defeat to the Cardinals in his most recent start.
San Diego is a -120 favorite against Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -996 and a record as the favorite of 26-23. San Diego has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite.
As for their opponent, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -1,079 and a disappointing record of 22-40 as the underdog. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 106 stolen bases. The Reds allow 4.3 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.2 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Reds are third in the NL on the road with an average of 8.0 hits allowed per away game.
The Padres lead the season series, 3-1. The Padres have a 40-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lorenzen takes the mound. Rea (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 37-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cin, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Reds lost by a margin of one run. The Padres are 16-16 in one-run games. The Reds have a 17-22 record in close games.
The Padres managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are coming in with a 2-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 8-41. The Padres have a 9-43 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 20th in home runs, San Diego has hit 97 this season. Cincinnati ranks ninth with 118 home runs.
Ranking 13th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.13 per game. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.60.
Ranking 30th, San Diego is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.669). Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .712.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 20-46. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have a 30-41 record.