Adam Conley (1-0, 4.05 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (45-68) meet Eduardo Rodriguez (6-4, 4.17 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (50-63) in the second of a two-game interleague series at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 5-4 and Miami leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 12 and will air on FSFL and NESN.
In his most recent outing, Conley pitched 3.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out one and walking one in a 9-8 loss to the Braves. Justin Bour (.250, 20 Rs, 10 HRs, 33 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. The Red Sox were unsuccessful to the Yankees 2-1 the last time Rodriguez pitched. He went 7.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out five and walking two. Hanley Ramirez (.262, 56 Rs, 19 HRs, 53 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
Miami is a slight underdog (+104) and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Marlins perform poorly as an underdog with a 23-44 record and have an overall money line of -2,340. They are 1-4 as the underdog over their last 10 games. The Marlins lead the majors in extra base hits with 262. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in all of baseball with 76 steals. Miami's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.3 during that span, compared to its 4.1 season average.
Across the field, the Red Sox have a record of 30-35 when they are favored and are -1,849 overall with the money line. Against interleague opponents, they are 8-4 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 7-3 record. Boston has been playing better lately, averaging 5.5 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.2. The Red Sox average just 6.7 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the AL. Boston's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play NL opponents. They've allowed an average of 4.0 runs per game against teams from the NL, lower than their season average of 4.8.
In their previous three games this season, the Red Sox have a 2-1 record. The Marlins will take on a left-hander (Rodriguez) in this game and have a 9-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the left-hander Conley. They sport a 12-18 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - Bos, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Red Sox lost by a margin of one run. The Marlins are 15-17 in one-run games. The Red Sox have a 15-16 record in close games.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 7-19 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 10-52. The Marlins have a 9-43 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 28th in home runs, Miami has hit 81 this season. Boston ranks 14th with 101 home runs.
Ranking 10th, Miami is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.46 per game. Boston ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.84.
Ranking 27th, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.677). Boston ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .713.
The Red Sox are 23-52 when they allow at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 20-41 record.