James Shields (8-4, 3.75 ERA) and Raisel Iglesias (2-4, 4.72 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (54-60) and the Cincinnati Reds (49-62) at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 11-6 and San Diego leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 3:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 12 and can be seen on FSOH and FSSD.
Shields pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out eight and walking one in a 4-3 defeat to the Phillies. Yangervis Solarte (.270, 39 Rs, 7 HRs, 41 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with three runs. Iglesias went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out six and walking one in a 2-0 defeat to the Diamondbacks in his most recent start. Todd Frazier (.260, 63 Rs, 28 HRs, 70 RBIs, 10 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
San Diego is a -137 favorite against Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -896 and a record as the favorite of 27-23. San Diego is a disappointing 1-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Padres are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.4 hits per game to their opponents this season.
As for their opponent, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -1,179 and a disappointing record of 22-41 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-7 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, the Reds have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 2.2 during that stretch. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 106 stolen bases. The Reds allow 4.3 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.9 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Reds are third in the NL on the road with an average of 8.0 hits allowed per away game.
The Padres lead the season series, 4-1. The Padres have a 40-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Iglesias takes the mound. Shields (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 37-47 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
Cincinnati recorded at least two errors for the 16th time this season.
The Padres are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 11 runs. The Reds have a 0-5 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Padres have a slight leg up on the Reds, as the Padres have won their last two games while the Reds have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 38-16. The Padres have a 39-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Cincinnati sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 433 this season. San Diego ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 449.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 292 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 342.
The Padres are 37-22 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Reds are 41-30 when they hit at least one homer.