Trevor Bauer (9-8, 4.06 ERA) and Nathan Eovaldi (11-2, 4.15 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (53-59) and the New York Yankees (61-51) at Progressive Field. The Yankees lost the last game 2-1, continuing a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 13 and can be seen on STOh and YES.
Bauer pitched 6.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out eight and walking three in a 17-4 win over the Twins. Michael Brantley (.316, 48 Rs, 8 HRs, 62 RBIs, 12 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 6 with one run and one RBI. Eovaldi went 6.1 innings, surrendering one run, striking out three and walking two in a 2-1 defeat to the Blue Jays in his most recent start. Mark Teixeira (.259, 55 Rs, 30 HRs, 77 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a slim -112 favorite over Cleveland. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. The Indians have an overall money line of -1,925 and a record as the underdog of 16-21. Cleveland has recorded a disappointing 1-3 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Indians have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Turning to the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 9.0.
In games where it is the favorite, New York has a 38-26 record and an overall money line of -13. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is second in the AL. The Yankees are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the AL with 8.6 hits per road game.
The Indians have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Indians have a 39-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Eovaldi takes the mound. Bauer (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 40-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
The Yankees lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Indians are 12-16. The Yankees are 17-18 in close games this season.
The Indians managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Yankees who are coming in with a 24-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Indians have a slight leg up on the Yankees, as the Indians have won their last four games while the Yankees have lost their last five.
When they outhit their opponents, the Indians are 44-7. The Yankees have a 41-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 19th, Cleveland is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 449 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 534.
Cleveland and New York both rank in the top five of the league in walks. Cleveland sits at third with 384 this season and New York ranks fifth with 372.
The Indians are 39-23 when they hit at least one home run. The Yankees perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 52-31 record.