Lance Lynn (9-6, 2.76 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (73-40) take on Francisco Liriano (7-6, 3.13 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (65-46) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the last of a three-game series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 4-2 and St. Louis leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 13 and can be seen on RTPT and FSMW.
Lynn pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out seven and walking four in a 6-0 win over the Brewers. Randal Grichuk (.282, 42 Rs, 14 HRs, 43 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Liriano went 3.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out four and walking two in a 6-5 defeat to the Dodgers in his most recent start. Andrew McCutchen (.299, 65 Rs, 18 HRs, 76 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Pirates, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
St. Louis is a narrow -115 favorite at home against Pittsburgh. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently six runs. The Cardinals have recorded an overall money line of +2,392 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 60-24. St. Louis is an impressive 7-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. St. Louis is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.2 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cardinals, who have a team ERA of only 2.62. The Cardinals are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.20 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Cardinals, who rank fourth in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.2.
In the other locker room, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+1,187), Pittsburgh has an unimpressive 12-19 record when playing as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 4-13 record against teams in their division, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Pirates have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 3.7 in those contests. Pittsburgh's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL at pitching on the road, with a 3.61 ERA.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 7-5. The Cardinals have a 16-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Liriano takes the mound. Lynn (RHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a 53-36 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals hold a 32-17 record in matchups against NL Central rivals, while the Pirates currently sit at 20-29 in these games.
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 23-13, while Pittsburgh is 20-25.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Cardinals have a 31-16 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Pirates are 15-35. The Cardinals have a 19-25 record when opponents outhit them.
St. Louis and Pittsburgh both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. St. Louis sits at 25th with 91 home runs this season and Pittsburgh ranks 23rd with 93.
St. Louis and Pittsburgh both rank in the top five of the league in hits. St. Louis sits at fifth with 8.65 hits per game and Pittsburgh ranks fourth with 8.97.
Ranking 17th, St. Louis is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.711). Pittsburgh ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .714.
The Pirates are 27-28 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 30-28 when they allow at least one homer.