In the last of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (56-56) and the Texas Rangers (55-56) at Target Field, Ervin Santana (2-3, 5.40 ERA) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (2-4, 3.74 ERA) get the ball. The Twins won the last game 11-1 and Minnesota leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 13 and will air on FSSW.
In his most recent outing, Santana pitched 2.1 innings, giving up eight runs, striking out one and walking two in a 17-4 loss to the Indians. Eddie Rosario (.274, 37 Rs, 6 HRs, 26 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Rangers were unsuccessful to the Angels 8-2 the last time Gonzalez pitched. He went 1.2 innings, allowing six runs, striking out one and walking two. Prince Fielder (.327, 55 Rs, 17 HRs, 66 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Minnesota is a -130 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Twins have a 13-9 record and overall money line at +1,060. They have SU record of 3-7 and are unbeaten as the favorite (2-0) over their last 10 games. Don't expect the Minnesota hitters to swing wildly in their own ballpark. They average only 6.8 strikeouts per home game. Minnesota's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.8 during that span, compared to its 4.5 season average. The Twins don't give up many walks to opposing batters, leading the AL with only 2.5 walks allowed per game.
On the other side, the Rangers have a record of 47-44 when they are the underdog and are +1,484 overall with the money line. The Rangers rank third in the AL in scoring, averaging 4.5 runs per game.
The right-handed Santana will take the mound against the Rangers, who have a 36-34 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Min, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Twins won by a margin of 10 runs. The Rangers are 2-5 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Twins have a 4-4 record in blowouts.
Texas has won 42% (20-28) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Minnesota has won 45% (17-21) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Rangers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Twins have a 10-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rangers are 43-8. The Twins have a 39-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 12th in runs, Minnesota has earned 468 this season. Texas ranks seventh with 495 runs.
Ranking 24th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 278 this season. Texas ranks in the top half at 14th with 324.
The Twins are 42-23 when they hit at least one home run. Texas has the same record when hitting one or more homers.