In the last of a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs (64-48) and the Milwaukee Brewers (48-67) at Wrigley Field, Jon Lester (7-8, 3.22 ERA) and Tyler Cravy (0-3, 5.40 ERA) get the ball. The Cubs won the last game 3-2, extending a six-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 2:20 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 13 and will air on WLS and FSWI.
In his last start, Lester pitched 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out three and walking two in a 7-3 victory over the Giants. Kris Bryant (.249, 60 Rs, 16 HRs, 66 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. The Brewers were unsuccessful to the Cardinals 6-0 the last time Cravy pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing six runs, striking out four and walking two. Ryan Braun (.272, 68 Rs, 20 HRs, 64 RBIs, 16 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Brewers, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Chicago is a heavy -226 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Cubs perform well as a favorite with a 44-28 record and have an overall money line of +599. They have SU record of 9-1 and are unbeaten as the favorite (8-0) over their last 10 games. Over their past 10 games, Chicago's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 5.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.0. The Cubs rank fourth in the majors in extra base hits with 293. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in all of baseball with 78 steals. Whenever an NL Central opponent shows up on the calendar, the Cubs seem to struggle with pitching. They allow an average of 3.8 runs per game, but allow 4.2 against teams from their own division. The Cubs are second in the league in WHIP at 1.18.
Switching gears, the Brewers come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (28-42) and an overall money line of -1,745. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-4 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 4-6. The Brewers are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.77 ERA on the road this season.
The Cubs have gotten the best of the Brewers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-4. This game will feature Cravy (RHP) on the mound against the Cubs, who have a 49-39 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the left-hander Lester. They sport a 13-12 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC
The Cubs hold a 28-22 record this season against teams in the NL Central Division. The Brewers' record in these matchups is 19-27.
Milwaukee has won 49% (27-28) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 56% (24-19) of its games when taking a late lead.
After a weak showing last week where they got in six hits, the Brewers need to step it up. The Cubs have a record of 33-8 when opponents get six hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 9-51. The Cubs have a 15-35 record when opponents outhit them.
Chicago and Milwaukee both rank in the bottom half of the league in home runs. Chicago sits at 16th with 102 home runs this season and Milwaukee ranks 19th with 101.
Chicago and Milwaukee both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Chicago sits at 14th with 8.10 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks 12th with 8.40.
Chicago and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Chicago sits at 24th with an OPS of .694 and Milwaukee ranks 23rd with an OPS of .695.
The Brewers are 27-46 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cubs are 31-31 when they allow at least one homer.