Wade Miley (8-9, 4.68 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (51-64) meet Felix Hernandez (14-6, 3.11 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (54-62) in the second of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won the last game 15-1 and Boston leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 1:35 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 15 and will air on RTNW and NESN.
In his most recent outing, Miley pitched 6.0 innings, allowing five runs, striking out six and walking one in a 7-6 loss to the Tigers. David Ortiz (.258, 53 Rs, 25 HRs, 69 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with three runs and one RBI. The Mariners were victorious the last time Hernandez pitched. He pitched well, going 7.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out five and walking one in a 4-2 victory over the Rangers.
Boston is a +125 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Red Sox have a 20-27 record and overall money line at -2,085. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking fifth in the AL with an average of 3.0 walks per game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Mariners come into this game with a win percentage of .456 when playing as the favorite (31-37) and an overall money line of -1,414. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 5-2 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 7-3. During the last 10 games, they averaged 4.9 runs per game, above their 3.7 season average.
In their previous five games this season, the Red Sox have a 3-2 record. The Red Sox will take on a right-hander (Hernandez) in this game and have a 38-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Miley will take the mound against the Mariners, who have a 13-17 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Sea, O/U - Under
The Red Sox won their last game by a 14-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Mariners are 0-4. The Red Sox are 3-4 in blowouts this season.
The Red Sox are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mariners have a 20-35 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 10-53. The Mariners have a 15-39 record when opponents outhit them.
Boston ranks in the top half of the league at 15th when it comes to home runs, hitting 106 this season. Seattle ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 132.
Ranking 13th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.23 per game. Boston ranks in the top five at third with 8.86.
Ranking 20th, Seattle is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.701). Boston ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .723.
When the Mariners allow at least one home run, they are 25-52, well-matched with the Red Sox who are 24-53 when allowing at least one homer.