Drew Hutchison (11-2, 5.26 ERA) and Luis Severino (0-1, 2.45 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (64-53) and the New York Yankees (63-51) at the Rogers Centre. The Yankees won the last game 4-1 and New York leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:07 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 16 and can be seen on YES and RSN.
Hutchison pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out six and walking two in a 4-2 win over the Athletics. Josh Donaldson (.293, 85 Rs, 31 HRs, 85 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Severino went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out two and walking one in a 5-4 defeat to the Indians in his last outing. Mark Teixeira (.259, 56 Rs, 30 HRs, 77 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Toronto is a -132 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Blue Jays have recorded an overall money line of +335 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 46-25. Toronto is an impressive 7-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.3 runs per game. Toronto's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.3 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.1.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 24-25 record and an overall money line of +193. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, the Yankees have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.8 runs per game by averaging 3.4 during that stretch. The Yankees can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking third in the league with 153 home runs. New York is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.3 per game, ranking fifth in the AL.
The Blue Jays have controlled the season series, 7-3. The Blue Jays have a 49-42 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Severino takes the mound. Hutchison (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 41-38 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Over
The Blue Jays are 26-22 against their divisional rivals, while the Yankees are 27-21 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Toronto is 31-22, while New York is 27-29.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Yankees are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Blue Jays have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Yankees are 42-6. The Blue Jays have a 52-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 618 this season. New York ranks second with 546 runs.
Toronto and New York both rank in the top five of the league in walks. Toronto sits at fourth with 385 this season and New York ranks fifth with 377.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 58-28, well-matched with the Yankees who are 54-31 when hitting one or more homers.