Henry Owens (1-1, 3.60 ERA) and Vidal Nuno (0-2, 2.64 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (52-64) and the Seattle Mariners (54-63) at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won the last game 22-10 and Boston leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 16 and can be seen on RTNW and NESN.
Owens pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out two and walking four in a 7-2 win over the Tigers. David Ortiz (.263, 53 Rs, 25 HRs, 72 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 3 with three RBIs. Nuno went 5.0 innings, surrendering two runs and striking out five in a 3-2 defeat to the Orioles in his most recent start. Nelson Cruz (.324, 65 Rs, 35 HRs, 73 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Mariners, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs.
Boston is a -138 favorite against Seattle and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -1,985 and a record as the favorite of 31-37. Boston is a disappointing 1-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Red Sox have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. The Red Sox lead the AL in hits at home with a phenomenal 9.8 per game. Boston is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.0 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Seattle has a 23-25 record and an overall money line of -1,514. The Mariners allow 4.3 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.7 runs per game during that span.
The Red Sox lead the season series, 4-2. The Red Sox have a 13-19 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nuno takes the mound. Owens (LHP) will be on the hill against the Mariners, who have a 13-17 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Bos, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Red Sox won by a margin of 12 runs. The Mariners are 0-5 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Red Sox have a 4-4 record in blowouts.
The Red Sox managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mariners who are coming in with a 22-17 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Red Sox have a slight leg up on the Mariners, as the Red Sox have won their last two games while the Mariners have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 33-18. The Red Sox have a 42-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th in runs, Seattle has earned 441 this season. Boston ranks third with 519 runs.
Boston and Seattle both rank in the top half of the league in walks. Boston sits at 11th with 346 this season and Seattle ranks 13th with 334.
The Red Sox are 39-36 when they hit at least one home run. The Mariners perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 45-35 record.