In the last of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (57-58) and the Cleveland Indians (54-60) at Target Field, Tommy Milone (5-3, 3.76 ERA) and Carlos Carrasco (11-8, 3.68 ERA) get the ball. The Twins won the last game 4-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 16 and will air on STOh and FSN.
In his most recent outing, Milone pitched 6.0 innings, allowing four runs and striking out four in a 6-1 loss to the Mariners. The Indians were unsuccessful to the Yankees 5-4 the last time Carrasco pitched. He went 8.0 innings, allowing two runs and striking out eight.
Minnesota, a +128 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Cleveland. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Twins are 43-48 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +925. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (1-6). Minnesota's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 7.0 during that span, compared to its 4.5 season average.
Across the field, the Indians have a record of 38-38 when they are favored and are -1,825 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 5-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 6-4. During the last 10 games, they averaged 6.2 runs per game, above their 4.0 season average. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Cleveland batters, who rank fifth in the AL with 7.2 strikeouts per game. Switching gears to Cleveland's pitching staff, they have the lowest road ERA in the AL at 3.26. They have a WHIP of 1.20, fourth best in the MLB. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in baseball with an AL-high 8.9 strikeouts per game.
The Twins will take on a right-hander (Carrasco) in this game and have a 36-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Indians will be the left-hander Milone. Southpaw starters have been a big issue for them as they sport a 14-24 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
The Indians are struggling at 18-29 in their division, while the Twins sit at 24-25.
When leading after 7 innings, Minnesota is 17-21, while Cleveland is 16-20.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Indians are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Twins have a 19-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Indians are 45-8. The Twins have a 40-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th in runs, Cleveland has earned 461 this season. Minnesota ranks 12th with 485 runs.
Ranking 23rd, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 286 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at third with 389.
The Twins are 43-25 when they hit at least one home run. The Indians perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 40-23 record.