Shelby Miller (5-9, 2.48 ERA) takes the hill for the Atlanta Braves (52-64) as they square off against Rubby De La Rosa (10-5, 4.55 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (57-58) in the last of a three-game series at Turner Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 8-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 16 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSSO.
Miller pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking three in a 4-1 defeat to the Marlins. De La Rosa went 6.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking one in a 13-3 win over the Phillies in his most recent start. Paul Goldschmidt (.341, 75 Rs, 22 HRs, 86 RBIs, 19 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Diamondbacks, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and two RBIs.
Arizona is a narrow -110 favorite over Atlanta. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Braves have an overall money line of -98 and a record as the underdog of 39-53. The Braves are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 277. Atlanta strikes out the least of any team in the NL, with only 6.7 per game.
In games where it is the favorite, Arizona has a 22-22 record and an overall money line of +113. Offensively, they average 4.5 runs per game, which is tops in the NL. The Diamondbacks are tough outs for opponents, ranking second in the NL with 9.3 hits per game. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 101 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB.
The Diamondbacks lead the season series, 3-2. The Braves have a 44-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when De La Rosa takes the mound. Miller (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 44-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Ari, O/U - Over
Atlanta has won 40% (23-34) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Arizona has won 55% (21-17) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Diamondbacks are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 11 strikeouts. The Braves have a record of 3-7 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 35-16. The Diamondbacks have a 40-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th in runs, Atlanta has earned 434 this season. Arizona ranks third with 524 runs.
Ranking 17th, Atlanta is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 321 this season. Arizona ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 351.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 30-24. When the Diamondbacks hit at least one homer, they have a 39-22 record.