Carlos Martinez (12-4, 2.62 ERA) takes the hill for the St. Louis Cardinals (75-41) as they square off against David Phelps (4-8, 4.35 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (46-70) in the last of a three-game series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 6-2 and St. Louis leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 2:15 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 16 and can be seen on FSFL and FSMW.
Martinez pitched 8.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs and striking out eight in a 4-3 win over the Pirates. Randal Grichuk (.286, 46 Rs, 15 HRs, 44 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Phelps went 4.1 innings, surrendering seven runs, striking out three and walking three in an 8-6 defeat to the Mets in his most recent start. Justin Bour (.250, 22 Rs, 11 HRs, 34 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when St. Louis, a big -232 favorite, takes on Miami. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Cardinals have recorded an overall money line of +2,486 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 62-25. St. Louis is an impressive 7-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. St. Louis's batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 6.8 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cardinals, who have a team ERA of only 2.62.
In the other locker room, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -2,224 and a disappointing record of 25-45 as the underdog. The Marlins have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 268 extra base hits. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with 78 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Marlins allow 4.1 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.1 runs per game during that span.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 5-0. The Cardinals have a great 36-9 record at home (58-26 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Phelps takes the mound. Martinez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 36-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Under
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 24-14, while Miami is 23-38.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Cardinals have a 12-10 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 9-44. The Cardinals have a 19-26 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, St. Louis ranks 24th with 94 homers and Miami is 28th with 84.
St. Louis and Miami both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. St. Louis sits at sixth with 8.64 hits per game and Miami ranks ninth with 8.55.
Ranking 27th, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.680). St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .713.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 21-43. When the Cardinals allow one or more homers, they have a 31-29 record.