Matt Harvey (11-7, 2.61 ERA) is on the hill for the New York Mets (63-54) as they square off against Jeff Locke (6-7, 4.43 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (68-46) in the last of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Pirates won the last game 5-3 and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 16 and can be seen on RTPT, SNY and TBS.
Harvey pitched 8.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs and striking out four in a 4-0 win over the Rockies. Yoenis Cespedes (.295, 70 Rs, 20 HRs, 69 RBIs, 5 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 6 with one stolen base. Locke went 5.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking three in a 4-3 defeat to the Cardinals in his most recent start. Jung Ho Kang (.288, 43 Rs, 9 HRs, 40 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 6 yesterday.
New York is a -158 favorite against Pittsburgh and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +937 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 49-17. New York is an impressive 7-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Mets have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 4.9 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game. The Mets lead the MLB in batting average with an impressive team average of .237. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Mets are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.15 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mets, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.3.
In games where it is the underdog, Pittsburgh has a 14-20 record and an overall money line of +1,289. Pittsburgh's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.27 ERA. The Pirates have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 7.8 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Pirates lead the season series, 5-0. The Mets have a 13-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Locke takes the mound. Harvey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a 55-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
Pittsburgh recorded at least two errors for the 26th time this season.
The Mets are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 11 strikeouts. The Pirates have a record of 8-12 when they are struck out that many times or more.
It looks like the Pirates have a slight leg up on the Mets, as the Pirates have won their last three games while the Mets have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Pirates are 47-6. The Mets have a 44-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, New York is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 437 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the top half at 14th with 483.
Ranking 21st, Pittsburgh is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 301 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 323.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 40-21, well-matched with the Pirates who are 44-22 when hitting one or more homers.