Matt Garza (6-12, 4.82 ERA) and Justin Nicolino (1-1, 4.86 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (51-68) and the Miami Marlins (47-70) at Miller Park. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 17 and can be seen on FSFL and FSWI.
Garza pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking two in a 3-2 defeat to the Cubs. Gerardo Parra (.323, 68 Rs, 12 HRs, 36 RBIs, 9 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 5 for 6 with three runs, one home run, and three RBIs. Nicolino went 5.2 innings, surrendering four runs and walking one in a 5-4 defeat to the Red Sox in his last outing. Justin Bour (.250, 22 Rs, 11 HRs, 35 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Milwaukee is a -155 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,745 and a record as the favorite of 22-24. Milwaukee is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 5-5 SU record in its last ten outings.
Over in the other dugout, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -2,324 and a disappointing record of 25-46 as the underdog. Offensively, the Marlins have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.6 runs per game by averaging 4.6 during that stretch. The Marlins have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 270 extra base hits. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with 79 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Marlins allow 4.1 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.5 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Marlins are fifth in the NL with an average of 8.4 hits allowed per game.
The Brewers have a 36-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nicolino takes the mound. Garza (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 36-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mil, O/U - Under
Miami has won 38% (23-38) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 49% (28-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 24-44 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 34-19. The Brewers have a 36-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Miami has earned 428 this season. Milwaukee ranks 20th with 463 runs.
Milwaukee and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Milwaukee sits at 23rd with 290 this season and Miami ranks 27th with 279.
The Brewers are 38-25 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 28-34 when they hit at least one homer.