In the second of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (52-66) and the Cleveland Indians (55-62) at Fenway Park, Eduardo Rodriguez (6-5, 4.83 ERA) and Trevor Bauer (9-9, 4.35 ERA) get the ball. The Indians won the last game 8-2 and Cleveland leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 18 and will air on STOh and NESN.
In his most recent outing, Rodriguez pitched 5.0 innings, allowing eight runs, striking out two and walking one in a 14-6 loss to the Marlins. David Ortiz (.263, 53 Rs, 25 HRs, 73 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Indians were also unsuccessful the last time Bauer pitched. He did not do well, pitching 3.1 innings, giving up six runs, striking out one and walking two in an 8-6 loss to the Yankees. Michael Brantley (.313, 49 Rs, 8 HRs, 64 RBIs, 13 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one RBI, and one stolen base.
Boston, a -123 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cleveland. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at nine runs. The Red Sox are 31-38 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,983. They are 1-3 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Over their past 10 games, Boston's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 7.8 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.5.
Switching gears, the Indians come into this game with a win percentage of .410 when playing as the underdog (16-23) and an overall money line of -2,055. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have a poor 0-3 record when they were an underdog to win. Cleveland has been playing better lately, averaging 5.8 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.0. Cleveland has an eye for the strike zone, averaging an AL-best 3.4 walks per game. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have a WHIP of 1.20, fourth best in the MLB.
The only other game between the two teams went Cleveland's way. This game will feature Bauer (RHP) on the mound against the Red Sox, who have a 39-45 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Indians will be the left-hander Rodriguez. Southpaw starters have been a big issue for them as they sport a 14-25 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Boston is 27-31, while Cleveland is 16-20.
The Indians are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Red Sox have a record of 27-20 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Indians are 46-8. The Red Sox have a 42-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th in runs, Cleveland has earned 471 this season. Boston ranks third with 529 runs.
Ranking seventh, Boston is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 357 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at third with 400.
The Red Sox are 39-38 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Indians are 41-23 when they hit at least one homer.