In the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (51-69) and the Miami Marlins (48-70) at Miller Park, Tyler Cravy (0-4, 5.92 ERA) and Adam Conley (1-0, 5.00 ERA) take the mound. The Marlins won the last game 6-2 and Miami leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 18 and will air on FSFL and FSWI.
In his most recent outing, Cravy pitched 4.1 innings, allowing four runs, striking out three and walking four in a 9-2 loss to the Cubs. Ryan Braun (.275, 69 Rs, 21 HRs, 71 RBIs, 18 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one RBI. The Marlins were unsuccessful the last time Conley pitched. He struggled, going 4.2 innings, giving up four runs, striking out three and walking one in a 14-6 loss to the Red Sox. Justin Bour (.253, 23 Rs, 11 HRs, 35 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Milwaukee, a -142 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Brewers have a 23-24 record and overall money line at -1,645. They have SU record of 5-5 and are unbeaten as the favorite (4-0) over their last 10 games.
Across the field, the Marlins have a subpar record of 26-46 when they are the underdog and are -2,105 overall with the money line. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.1 runs per game, above their 3.7 season average. The Marlins are known for their bats, hitting a league-leading 273 extra base hits. Miami is a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in the MLB with 80 stolen bases. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Miami pitchers. They allowed 5.4 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.1. They also average just 8.4 hits allowed per game, fifth-best in the NL.
So far this season, the Marlins are 1-0 against the Brewers. The Brewers will take on a left-hander (Conley) in this game and have a 14-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Cravy will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 37-55 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mil, O/U - Over
Miami has won 38% (23-38) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 49% (28-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 20-13 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 35-19. The Brewers have a 36-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, Milwaukee ranks 21st with 465 runs and Miami is 28th with 434.
Milwaukee and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Milwaukee sits at 23rd with 294 this season and Miami ranks 27th with 280.
The Brewers are 38-25 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 29-34 when they hit at least one homer.