In the first of a four-game series between the Miami Marlins (49-71) and the Philadelphia Phillies (46-73) at Marlins Park, Brad Hand (2-3, 4.74 ERA) and Jerome Williams (4-8, 5.47 ERA) get the start. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 20 and will air on FSFL and CSPh.
In his most recent outing, Hand pitched 6.0 innings, giving up six runs and striking out five in a 6-2 loss to the Cardinals. Justin Bour (.247, 24 Rs, 12 HRs, 38 RBIs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. The Phillies were unsuccessful the last time Williams pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, allowing one and striking out four in a 4-2 loss to the Brewers.
Miami, a -143 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Philadelphia. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Marlins have a 21-24 record and overall money line at -1,836. They have a winless record (0-2) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. Miami has averaged 5.2 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 3.7. The Marlins are a dangerous hitting team with an MLB-best 281 extra base hits. The Marlins are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 86 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
On the other side, the Phillies have a subpar record of 41-66 when they are the underdog and are -796 overall with the money line. Against teams in their division, they are 18-26 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 15-24 record. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Philadelphia batters, who rank fourth in the NL with 7.4 strikeouts per game. Playing against NL East foes really brings the best out of the Philadelphia pitchers. They allow 4.1 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 5.0.
The Phillies have gotten the better of the Marlins in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-4. This game will feature Williams (RHP) on the mound against the Marlins, who have a 39-55 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Phillies will be the left-hander Hand. They sport a 10-15 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mia, O/U - Over
The Marlins are struggling at 16-28 in their division, while the Phillies are 18-26.
Miami recorded at least two errors for the 14th time this season.
The Miami batters brought in a solid 11 hits last game. Philadelphia has a record of 8-35 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 9-45. The Phillies have a 16-57 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Miami sits at 28th with 87 home runs this season and Philadelphia ranks 29th with 86.
Ranking sixth, Miami is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.63 per game. Philadelphia ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.66.
Miami and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Miami sits at 25th with an OPS of .685 and Philadelphia ranks 27th with an OPS of .683.
When the Phillies allow at least one home run, they are 21-52, well-matched with the Marlins who are 22-44 when allowing at least one homer.