Miguel Gonzalez (9-8, 4.42 ERA) and Tyler Duffey (1-1, 6.75 ERA) start in the first of a four-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (61-57) and the Minnesota Twins (59-61) at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 20 and can be seen on FSN, MASN and MLBN.
Gonzalez pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking three in a 4-3 defeat to the Athletics. Manny Machado (.299, 75 Rs, 25 HRs, 62 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Duffey went 6.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out seven and walking five in a 4-1 win over the Indians in his last outing. Trevor Plouffe (.249, 57 Rs, 18 HRs, 66 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Baltimore is a -156 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of +107 and a record as the favorite of 39-27. Baltimore is an impressive 5-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the AL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. Turning to the pitchers, the Orioles are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.3 walks per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 44-51 record and an overall money line of +845. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-5 record, and a 4-6 record SU. When it comes to issuing walks, the Twins have the fewest in the AL with only 2.5 walks allowed per game.
The Twins have the edge in the season series, 3-0. The Orioles have a 44-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Duffey takes the mound. Gonzalez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 38-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Bal, O/U - Over
The Twins lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Orioles are 16-19. The Twins are 16-17 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 24-16, while Minnesota is 17-22.
The Twins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Orioles have a 36-36 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 44-11. The Twins have a 42-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 12th, Minnesota sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 507 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 529.
Baltimore and Minnesota both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Baltimore sits at 25th with 286 this season and Minnesota ranks 24th with 297.
The Orioles are 54-31 when they hit at least one home run. The Twins perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 45-27 record.