Charlie Morton (7-4, 4.36 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (71-47) meet Jake Peavy (3-5, 4.18 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (65-55) in the first of a four-game series at PNC Park. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 20 and will air on CSBy, RTPT and MLBN.
In his last start, Morton pitched 6.1 innings, allowing two runs (one unearned), striking out nine and walking one in a 5-3 loss to the Mets. Andrew McCutchen (.296, 68 Rs, 18 HRs, 78 RBIs, 6 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3. The Giants were victorious over the Nationals 12-6 the last time Peavy pitched. He went 5.2 innings, giving up five runs, striking out two and walking three. Brandon Crawford (.272, 58 Rs, 19 HRs, 75 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Pittsburgh is a -124 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Pirates have a winning record of 54-27 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +1,445. Over their past 10 games, Pittsburgh's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 6.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.3.
Switching gears, the Giants come into this game with a win percentage of .545 when playing as the underdog (30-25) and an overall money line of +554. The top hitting team in the NL are the Giants, who average 9.3 hits per game. San Francisco's pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.7 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 3.8. They also allow just 2.8 hits per road game, good for fifth in the NL.
The previous three games have all gone Pittsburgh's way. This game will feature Peavy (RHP) on the mound against the Pirates, who have a 57-38 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Morton will take the mound against the Giants, who have a 49-44 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pit, O/U - Over
The Giants lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Pirates are 26-15. The Giants are 15-17 in close games this season.
The Pittsburgh batters brought in a solid 10 hits last game. San Francisco has a record of 12-23 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 5-36. The Pirates have a 16-36 record when opponents outhit them.
Pittsburgh and San Francisco both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Pittsburgh sits at 22nd with 101 home runs this season and San Francisco ranks 21st with 103.
Ranking first in hits, San Francisco has earned 9.28 per game this season. Pittsburgh ranks fourth with 9.12 hits.
Ranking 13th, Pittsburgh is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.720). San Francisco ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .739.
The Giants are 30-39 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Pirates are 30-29 when they allow at least one homer.