Ivan Nova (5-4, 3.57 ERA) and the New York Yankees (67-52) go up against Josh Tomlin (0-1, 2.84 ERA) and the Cleveland Indians (55-64) in the first of a four-game series at Yankee Stadium. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 20 and will air on STOh and YES.
In his most recent outing, Nova pitched 7.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out three and walking one in a 4-3 victory over the Blue Jays. The Indians were unsuccessful to the Twins 4-1 the last time Tomlin pitched. He went 6.1 innings, allowing two runs and striking out five. Michael Brantley (.317, 51 Rs, 9 HRs, 65 RBIs, 13 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run.
New York is a -155 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Yankees have a winning record of 42-26 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +512. They are 4-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games.
Moving on to the away team, the Indians come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (16-24) and an overall money line of -2,055. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-3 record and 6-4 SU. Cleveland has been playing better lately, averaging 5.5 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.0. Cleveland has an eye for the strike zone, averaging an AL-best 3.4 walks per game. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have a WHIP of 1.20, fifth best in the MLB. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in baseball with an AL-high 8.8 strikeouts per game.
The Indians are 2-1 against the Yankees this season. The Yankees will take on a right-hander (Tomlin) in this game and have a 45-39 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Nova will take the mound against the Indians, who have a 41-37 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 28-29, while Cleveland is 16-21.
The Indians are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Yankees have a 10-10 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 8-48. The Yankees have a 13-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 25th in home runs, Cleveland has hit 97 this season. New York ranks third with 161 home runs.
Ranking eighth, Cleveland is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.60 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.81.
Ranking 14th, Cleveland is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.714). New York ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .757.
The Indians are 34-52 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 33-40 when they allow at least one homer.