Justin Nicolino (2-1, 4.24 ERA) and Aaron Harang (5-14, 4.79 ERA) are on the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Miami Marlins (50-72) and the Philadelphia Phillies (48-74) at Marlins Park. The Phillies won the last game 7-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 22 and can be seen on FSFL and CSPh.
Nicolino pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking two in a 6-2 win over the Brewers. Justin Bour (.254, 25 Rs, 12 HRs, 39 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4. Harang went 4.2 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out two and walking one in a 6-1 defeat to the Brewers in his most recent start. Ryan Howard (.238, 43 Rs, 19 HRs, 67 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run and two RBIs.
Miami is a -135 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of -1,836 and a record as the favorite of 22-24. Miami is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 7-3 SU record in its last ten outings. The Marlins have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.8 runs per game. The Marlins lead the MLB in extra base hits with 287. Miami is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 87 bases.
In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -671 and a disappointing record of 42-67 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-7 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out with just 7.4 per game, ranking fourth in the NL. The Phillies allow 5.0 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.9 runs per game during that span.
The Phillies lead the season series, 6-5. The Marlins have a 40-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Harang takes the mound. Nicolino (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 36-58 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mia, O/U - Over
The Marlins currently sit below .500 against the NL East Division at 17-29, and the Phillies have a 19-27 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Philadelphia is 24-36, while Miami is 24-39.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 14-32 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 36-19. The Phillies have a 28-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Miami and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Miami sits at 24th with 460 runs this season and Philadelphia ranks 25th with 459.
Miami and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Miami sits at 25th with 296 this season and Philadelphia ranks 28th with 274.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 30-36, well-matched with the Phillies who are 30-33 when hitting one or more homers.